Fewer first-time homebuyers.

Is it a sign of the times?  Real estate fares much better today than last year, but a new trend emerges:
first-time buyers are fewer...

A survey by the NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® found that only 31 percent of their sales were to first-time buyers. Normally, first-time buyers represent closer to 40 percent of the market.
More details about this (sad) trend on this article of the New York Times.

Thanks for reading!
Francis

Silicon Valley real estate
Smart graphs...

Current Mortgage rates

Non-profit organization worth noting: Partners for New Generations.

Home prices nationwide rise.

Home prices nationwide rise for eighth consecutive month.

CoreLogic’s October CoreLogic HPI report shows home prices nationwide, including distressed sales, increased on a year-over-year basis by 6.3 percent in October 2012 compared with October 2011, representing the biggest increase since June 2006 and the eighth consecutive increase in home prices nationally on a year-over-year basis.

Highlights as of October 2012:

• Including distressed sales, the five states with the highest home price appreciation were: Arizona, 21.3 percent; Hawaii, 13.2 percent; Idaho, 12.4 percent; Nevada, 12.4 percent; and North Dakota, 10.4 percent.
• Including distressed sales, the five states with the greatest home price depreciation were: Illinois, -2.7 percent; Delaware, -2.7 percent; Rhode Island, -0.6 percent; New Jersey, 0.6 percent; and Alabama, -0.3 percent.
• The five states with the largest peak-to-current declines, including distressed transactions, were Nevada, -53.5 percent; Florida, -44.5 percent; Arizona, -40.2 percent; California, -36.6 percent; and Michigan, -35.3 percent.

Corelogic Home price index.   (The CoreLogic HPI incorporates more than 30 years’ worth of repeat sales transactions, representing more than 65 million observations...)

Thank you for reading,

Francis

Silicon Valley real estate

Current Mortgage rates

Non-profit organization worth noting: Random acts of flowers.

Previews Luxury Market Report

The 2012 edition of the Previews Luxury Market report has been released! As 2012 comes to a close, Coldwell Banker Previews International® has taken a look back on the affluent marketplace for the December 2012 Luxury Market Report. Inside the report, you’ll find:

• Ultra-Affluent Market Survey. What motivates a buyer or seller at the very top of the market? We surveyed Previews® NRT agents who have either listed or sold a property priced at $10 million and above in the last three years to give you new insight into this rare consumer.

• Women of Affluence. Did you know that women control $20 trillion in consumer spending worldwide and women’s global incomes have been estimated to grow by $5 trillion in only a five-year span? Previews explores the reasons why affluent women have become one of the most influential groups in the luxury marketplace today, and how they’re rapidly changing the business of real estate.

• Top 10 U.S. ZIP Codes. This year, the ZIP code charts reveal a few new hotbeds for affluent buyers, such as Manhattan Beach, Calif. and Saratoga, Calif., in addition to the blue-chip luxury neighborhoods of Beverly Hills and Greenwich, Connecticut.

We hope this information will give you a more nuanced picture of the global luxury marketplace as we move into 2013. Click here to download the full report.

Thank you for reading,

Francis Rolland

Silicon Valley real estate

Current Mortgage rates

Non-profit organization worth noting: Partners for New Generations.

Homeowners' tax deduction in danger?

... Reading the other day the headlines in the San Jose Mercury News: "Coveted tax break in peril?"

With the negotiations going on in Washington to avert the "fiscal cliff", we all know that there will be some combination of cost reduction measures and tax increase, whatever this combination will be.  But the tax deduction for homeowners regarding the interest paid on their loan is definitely in consideration.

For the main parts of the nation, this is not an issue, but for the Bay area, where according to this article, 40% of the purchase loans in the Counties of Santa Clara and San Mateo are for more than $500,000, it is a big deal.  13% of those loans were for more than $800,000, and 10% were for more than $900,000.

One way to find money is to reduce this interest deduction.  If the maximum mortgage cap is brought down from the present $1million to $500,000, over 10 years, it would raise $41.4 billion according to this article, which would look good to reduce the deficit of course. 

What would you do, if in the course of reducing the deficit, the politicians were to take away part of the mortgage deduction?  Most likely, if you own a house in the Bay Area, you have a significant mortgage attached to that house.  Would it affect you?  Would you agree with that?

Francis

Silicon Valley real estate

Current Mortgage rates

Non-profit organization worth noting: Partners for New Generations.

Scams of the year…

Scams of the year…

The troubled housing market, an array of new mortgage programs, and general consumer confusion over the new rules set the stage for a host of scams, from Ponzi schemes to rigged bidding at real estate auctions to “reverse staging”, where investors make negative cosmetic changes to a property to get a low appraisal, sell it to a cohort, then flip the property for a higher price.

The big news was the uptick in “foreclosure rescue” companies and mortgage modification scams. In one version, scam artists find victims via foreclosures notices in newspapers, the internet and public records, offer a loan modification for an up-front fee, then disappear with the money. By mid-year, such scams were up 60%, according to the nonprofit Homeownership Preservation Foundation.

State officials also warned of a new scam from callers promising to help owners apply for the Keep Your Home California program for fees of up to $900, although applying is free.

In May, armed forces members were warned of HAMP scams from companies using official government logos, promising guaranteed results and charging high fees for help or information that could be obtained for free.

Prepaid rental listing services also are in question sometimes, as shown in this article from the Department of Real Estate.

As always, in real estate, it is good to conduct your due diligence before hiring services.  Remember to call me for professional contacts, or professional advice.  I do not know everything but I sure will share my knowledge and help you if I can.

Thanks for reading!

Francis

Silicon Valley real estate

Current Mortgage rates

Non-profit organization worth noting: Partners for New Generations.

Should you buy during the Holidays?

Should you buy a home during the holidays?

Once Thanksgiving is over, the real estate world typically starts to wind down for the holidays and doesn’t usually reawaken until after New Year’s. But potential home buyers who are prepared to close in today’s competitive market may want to keep house hunting while everyone else is waiting for spring.

This article from UT San Diego explains that REALTORS® especially recommend that serious home buyers continue shopping if they have repeatedly lost out on deals because of a limited and continually decreasing supply of homes. Buying intensity typically cools down at the start of fall through early January, which could increase the odds for those with more patience.

Would-be buyers historically have bowed out during the winter season because they are overwhelmed by holiday spending and commitments. There’s also the aversion of moving in the middle of a school year. Consumer interest typically picks back up again in the New Year and peaks in the spring.

It is my experience that prices, statistically, go down at the end of the year. (pls refer to this past blog from June). This would be another reason in my opinion for not stopping a house hunting effort. - it is also true, from one of my recent blogs, that prices this year do not seem to abate as they did in previous years. I am afraid of what it may mean for the coming 2 or 3 months.

What does your crystal ball tell you?
Thanks for reading!
Francis

Local market trends

Current Mortgage rates

Non-profit organization worth noting: Partners for New Generations.

South Bay among best US job markets

Reading this little article in the San Jose Mercury News, dated Nov. 30, about the job market in the Bay Area, it strikes me as something of the utmost interest in explaining why the real estate market is so imbalanced in the Silicon Valley. (i.e.: too much demand, not enough supply).

This article, which I will simply paraphrase, while giving all credits to the SJ Merc, explains that according to a report from the US bureau of Labor Statistics, the County of Santa Clara saw jobs increase by 3.5 % in the one-year period ending in October 2012.

The San Francisco - San Mateo - Marin metro region had an annual growth of 3.4 %, and the East Bay 2%. 

Only the Houston region in Texas showed a higher jobs increase: 3.6%

More work means more people attracted to the area. I believe there is also a parallel between freeway traffic and housing prices... Don't you think so? I have never seen 280 so congested after 3pm between Los Altos and San Francisco.

Thank you for reading!

Francis

Silicon Valley Real Estate

useful links

_____________________________________________________
Coldwell Banker invites you to warm and brighten the spirits of those in our community this holiday season by supporting One Warm Coat, a coat drive that collects and distributes warm coats to the less fortunate in our local community during the cold winter months.

Our office is accepting donations of new or gently used coats for One Warm Coat now until December 14.
To make a donation or for more information, please contact me today.

Things are improving...

It is hard to keep some perspective on the market nationwide, as we keep our eyes on the ball here in the Silicon Valley. While multiple offers rule here and buyers have a hard time finding, then purchasing a home, it is good to keep things in perspective and look at the big picture.
The market is still struggling, and shaky in some areas.

IMPROVEMENT – As of 9/30/12, 1 out of every 8.5 home mortgages (11.7%) in the USA are either delinquent or are in the foreclosure process. Compared with: 12/31/2009, when 1 out of every 6.7 home mortgages (15.0%) in the USA was either delinquent or was in the foreclosure process (source: MBA Mortgage Bankers Association).

While keeping things in perspective, let us remember too that about 1/3 of all houses in the US are owned free and clear:

According to the National Association of Realtors "Economists' Outlook blog":

Nationally, about 32 percent of homes were owned outright—without a mortgage. This varies from state to state. West Virginia has the highest share of homes owned outright, just 2 percent shy of half. This contrasts with California, Colorado, Maryland, DC, and Nevada where less than a quarter of owner-occupied homes were owned outright.

Thank you for reading!

Francis

Silicon Valley Real Estate

useful links

Coldwell Banker invites you to warm and brighten the spirits of those in our community this holiday season by supporting One Warm Coat, a coat drive that collects and distributes warm coats to the less fortunate in our local community during the cold winter months.

Our office is accepting donations of new or gently used coats for One Warm Coat now until December 14.
To make a donation or for more information, please contact me today.