California: November Real Estate Situation

The lowdown for California:   Source: CALIFORNIA ASSN. OF REALTORS®

Defying an otherwise struggling economy, California home sales remained red hot in November, breaking the 500,000 sales benchmark for the first time since January 2009 and reaching the highest level in 15 years, the California Association of Realtors® said.

November sales rose 5.0 percent from 484,510 in October to 508,820 units and were up 26.3 percent from a year ago, when 402,880 homes were sold on an annualized basis. The year-over-year, double-digit sales gain was the fourth consecutive and the largest yearly gain since May 2009.      

“Home-buying interest is at levels that we have not seen for years, setting the stage for a stronger-than-expected comeback that fully recovered all the sales that the market lost in the first half of the year due to the pandemic,” said 2021 C.A.R. President Dave Walsh, vice president and manager of the Compass San Jose office. “Housing supply remains an issue, however, as we will likely to see a shortage of homes for sale in the near term, which will put upward pressure on prices and dampen affordability for those who haven’t been able to take advantage of low rates.” 

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Francis

Silicon Valley real estate
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Fabulous 1 Bedroom for sale in Mt View - Los Altos Schools - www.49ShowersA238.com 

California Real Estate Update

Here are some extracts of the current California Real Estate Update Report, from the California Association of Realtors, which you can browse here in its entirety.   

• Sales in resort communities remained hot in September as housing demand in those areas continued to surge from last year. South Lake Tahoe home sales continued to increase year-over-year by triple-digits (105.4%) for the second consecutive month …
• At the regional level, all major regions posted double-digit price increases from last year. … All regions except the San Francisco Bay Area set a new high in median price in September.   
• All but one of 51 counties tracked by C.A.R. reported a year-over-year price gain, with 39 of them growing 10 percent or more. Lassen had the highest price increase, gaining 51.4 percent year-over-year. Humboldt was the only county where the median price was flat from a year ago, and no counties experienced an annual price decline.

• C.A.R.’s statewide sales-price-to-list-price ratio* was 100 percent in September 2020 and 98.5 percent in September 2019.
• The statewide average price per square foot** for an existing single-family home was $321 in September 2020 and $287 in September 2019.
• The 30-year, fixed-mortgage interest rate averaged 2.89 percent in September, down from 3.61 percent in September 2019, according to Freddie Mac. The five-year, adjustable mortgage interest rate was an average of 2.98 percent, compared to 3.38 percent in September 2019.

If you like my updates, subscribe to my Blog!  Thank you for reading,

Francis

Silicon Valley real estate
Trends: Local prices and graphs.
How much is your home worth?

Home prices going forward in the US... & Bay Area

US house prices are going to rise at twice the speed of inflation and pay: Reuters poll   
Source: CNBC Article

An acute shortage of affordable homes in the United States will continue over the coming year, according to a majority of property market analysts polled by Reuters, driving prices up faster than inflation and wage growth.

The latest poll of nearly 45 analysts taken May 16-June 5 showed the S&P/Case Shiller composite index of home prices in 20 cities is expected to gain a further 5.7 percent this year.
That compared to predictions for average earnings growth of 2.8 percent and inflation of 2.5 percent 2018, according to a separate Reuters poll of economists.

U.S. house prices are then forecast to rise 4.3 percent next year and 3.6 percent in 2020.

A further breakdown of the April data showed the inventory of existing homes had declined for 35 straight months on an annual basis while the median house price was up for a 74th consecutive month.

About 80 percent of nearly 40 analysts who answered an extra question said the already tight supply of affordable homes in the United States will either stay the same or fall over the next 12 months.

In the Bay Area, things are not better.  The ratio of home completions to job growth is still very small, which will keep pressure on home prices here too:

.. while according to this article from the Mercury News, the nation's top three most expensive places for renters are here in the Bay Area...

Thank you for reading,

Francis
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A worthy local non-profit to remember: Community Services Agency in Mountain View.