Shortage of California homes up for sale...

Shortage of California homes up for sale

For those who like to read technical stuff, this is perfect.  This goes into the nitty-gritty of the real estate market in California:
After years of having too many homes and not enough buyers, real estate agents in California now have the opposite problem – too many buyers and not enough homes for sale.


Let's look at the details:

* The CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (C.A.R.) reported Monday (9/17) that its statewide inventory of unsold homes index for existing, single-family detached homes fell to 3.2 months in August from 3.5 months in July and 5.2 months in August 2011.

* The index reflects the number of months needed to sell the supply of homes on the market at the current sales rate. A six- to seven-month supply is considered normal. When the number goes higher, inventory is plentiful and it’s considered a buyer’s market. When the number goes lower, the advantage goes to the seller.

* Declining inventory helps explain why the statewide median price of an existing, single-family detached home rose to $343,820 in August, up 3 percent from July and up 15.5 percent from August 2011, according to C.A.R.

* Nationwide, the inventory of homes for sale also has declined. In July, there was a 6.4-month supply of homes compared with 9.3 months in July 2011. The current number is in line with the long-term average, according to the NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®. However, NAR also acknowledges there are “acute shortages” in places such as California, Arizona, Nevada, and parts of Florida.

* Also constraining supply is the fact that so many homeowners are underwater – or owe more than their homes are worth – and unable to sell without taking a loss. As prices rise, more homes will increase in value, but it’s going to take time. Meanwhile, there are still a lot of homes that are not likely to come onto the market.

* At some point, the balance will tip, but it’s hard to predict when. When banks decide prices are high enough, they will start unloading houses they have been sitting on, according to the chief economist for Trulia.

Read the San Francisco Article on the matter for more details.

Thank you for reading!

Francis

Silicon Valley Real Estate

useful links

A non-profit worth of praise: Habitat for Humanity

Good news: housing inventory is up..

After some grueling months in the trenches, (if you happen to be looking for a house to buy), seeing the number of homes available on the market dwindle to something not seen since 2005, we relish a breath of fresh air:  the number of houses and condominiums available for sale is finally coming up a bit, promising more balance in the market may be?  We'll see.

When the market is sharply up, people often think that it is "great" for Realtors. Not quite so, unless you strictly work for sellers. If buyers have too hard a time to purchase a property, it does not benefit the community as a whole. Hence the sigh of relief when the market is more balanced.

In the past month, and as of the 18th of May, we have seen the number of homes on the market for sale, in the whole County of Santa Clara, come up from about 1575 to 1720. (below is the average for a given month...).

At the same time, the percentage of houses (not condos) sold for more than listing price has gone up to 44.5%.  By the way, this statistic is available every Saturday in the San Jose Mercury News in the real estate section.

Thanks for reading!
Francis

Silicon Valley Real Estate

Local market trends

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Current Mortgage rates

Silicon Valley: housing inventory

To keep things in perspective, it is good to keep an eye on the inventory of homes for sale at a given point in time.  Here is the inventory of all properties for sale (houses + PUD/condos) both in the whole County of Santa Clara, and in the area limited to the five Cities: Los Altos, Los Altos Hills, Palo Alto, Mountain View, and Menlo Park:

Lower inventory = tendency for prices to be sustained, or rise. 
There are signifcantly fewer properties for sale now than last year.  It is also interesting to note that the luxury market (over $1 million) has fewer homes on the market, which is reflecting the fact that the market has been more active in the past months.

Here in the Bay Area, as noted many times, demand is showing pretty strong fairly consistently.

As agents, we note that open houses are very busy, especially for houses, and certainly all the time for houses in the good school districts. In Palo Alto, multiple offers are the rule, as with all properties priced at market value, in good school districts.

It is worth noting again that about 30% of houses sell for over asking price in the County of Santa Clara.
A lot of them are foreclosures.  - A foreclosure sale does not always mean that it is a fabulous deal, moneywise.

Interested in the same figures for only condominiums for instance? Let me know.
Francis Rolland

Silicon Valley Real Estate

Local market trends

useful links

Mortgage rates