How can your agent show you properties....

How can your agent show you properties…

 

When you are an agent, it makes sense to work with buyers as well as sellers: if you do your job right, the buyers of yesterday will be your clients sellers of tomorrow.

And to be sure your clients buyers will be as happy tomorrow as they are today following their new purchase, I believe that your job while showing properties is not so much to “sell” the house, but to “inform” the client about the house. 

What is important in my mind when I show a property is to point out to the client what he/she would otherwise not see, and to inform them about things they would not think about.  While I remind my client that I am not a negative person, I will most likely point out negatives that they otherwise would not notice.  The positives? I trust the client to see them, and know why they like the place.  The clients are the ones knowing best what is good for them, what they need or like in a property.  On the other hand, they may not notice some less desirable features in the house or the surroundings. 

 

I think the term “salesman” has been wrongly attached to the profession, and I do my best to counter that impression: I am here to help clients purchase the best house for them, not to sell them anything.

 

When I was a young agent, my mentor used to say: “a house is like a boat; as the captain, you just want to know there is a leak if there is one”. The leak in itself is not necessarily critical.

What are red flags that may not be apparent to a new home buyer?

-       Cracks.  All cracks are not made equal  ;-)  Some are more worrisome than others. Although an agent cannot give an opinion on how serious cracks may be, unless he/she is also a contractor or a specialist, some things statistically will be more problematic than others.  Cracks like other defects need to be pointed out and referred to a professional inspector (who in the end is always the one to give a professional opinion to the buyer).

-       Puddles near the foundation.

-       Sticky doors or windows - probably a sign that the structure moves. 

-       Flickering lights,

-       Uneven floors,

-       Black stains on walls, floors, windows…

-       Missing or displaced shingles on a roof, etc…

 Any experience you’d want to share? I would love to hear your experience!

Thanks for reading,

Francis

Silicon Valley real estate specialist
Detailed, local trends etc...
Current mortgage rates
A place worth noting: Our Brother's Home in MountainView

Real estate: the misunderstood "as is" clause.

Real estate: the “as is” clause.

In my experience, the iconic "As Is" term is largely misunderstood, by buyers and sellers equally.  This is where your (professional) agent may save you money, and hopefully some mistakes.

“As Is” merely means that the seller and the buyer accept the fact that the seller is not obligated to correct anything at all. The seller still has to fully disclose everything that could affect the value or the desirability of the property (any negative aspect of the property, past present or future - if known) - unless the seller is exempt. “As is” does not relieve the seller of his/her legal disclosure obligations.  Also, at a different level, in most contracts the property has to be, at close of escrow, in the same general condition as on the date of contract acceptance; so, if something is damaged after the contract has been signed, the seller would most likely be obligated to correct it, even if it is an "as is" transaction. - or the buyer may cancel, possibly.

In the past, when the market was different, I would often advise a seller to contractually limit any and all liability to a certain amount, after the buyers had done their inspections.  The buyers could ask for certain repairs, but at least this way the seller did not have to go over that limit if that had been negotiated in the contract.  Today, the "as is" clause would mean that the limit placed on the works possibly done to satisfy the buyers would be zero dollars.  That's as simple as that.  If the buyer has a contingency, the buyer can always ask for something to be corrected, repaired, replaced…. Depending on how the contract is written, the buyer then may be able to cancel the purchase if the answer is not what (s)he likes.  The sellers could always agree to some repairs, why not, if they otherwise are happy with the end result. But they don't have to.

New homebuyers are often scared by the term "as is", and they should not.  I have found that when something big pops up that was not known upfront, both buyers and sellers are willing to work together to address it.  Of course, market conditions will play a large role.
A contract is a living thing: things change during a transaction, new stuff is found, other inspections may happen, and items which were acceptable yesterday may not be acceptable today. “As is” is not the end of the story. It depends a lot also on the other terms and conditions negotiated in the contract.  Knowing the real estate contracts and their subtleties is one of the most important criteria in your choice of an agent to represent you.

And when you sell a property, disclosing as many things upfront as possible is a good strategy: it seeks to remove the majority of the unknowns, and makes it a lot more possible to go into an “as is” contract that is meaningful for both sides.

Thank you for reading,

Francis

Silicon Valley real estate

Trends: Local prices and graphs.

A noteworthy local event coming up:
The French Fair, March 21, 2015

California State drought situation.

California is in a deep drought, as evidenced on this map of the state of drought in the US, from the NIDIS web site (National Integrated Drought Information System).  It is not going to go away.  Knowing where we waste water is useful:

Thanks for reading,
Francis

Silicon Valley real estate

Trends: Local prices and graphs.
The total yearly stats, locally by City, for 2014.

Note: our next free E-Waste collection and shredding event will be on: Sat. 4/11/15, at our Coldwell Banker office at 161 S. San Antonio Rd, Los Altos. Times: E-Waste 9am to 3 pm. Shredding: 10 am to 2 pm (or until our truck is full).

Owning a home - the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau.

Thinking about owning a home one of these days, even if it is not going to be very soon?

A good way to start is of course to talk to a Realtor® (not just a real estate agent).  A Realtor® is a member of the National Association of Realtors®; he adheres to a very strict code of ethics. Not all agents are Realtors®!

Some of us however like to do some research first, investigate and read about a subject, and be comfortable before making a move. 

A very good place to start, which is not very well known, is the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau which was created right after the 2008 financial meltdown.  Their “Owning a Home” page is really comprehensive, full of essential information about the whole process.  It touches on the financial aspect of the journey to owning a home (loan options, rates etc…) to the actual procedures of closing such a transaction.  By the way, these procedures include new documents and disclosures  that will be taking effect on August 1 of 2015.  The old closing documents and forms will be shelved.

In the financial part, you will see that no one can quote you a rate right off the bat, without knowing a good deal about your personal situation.  So, when you read about that fabulous rate in the paper or in an ad, you’d better be careful, - it is probably for the cleanest, richest, ideal top-credit-rating person   My advice is rather to choose a loan agent whom you know will look out for the best loan for you when the time comes (not necessarily the cheapest).  You will also see that depending on the type of loan, you can borrow more or less…
that walked on the surface of this earth.

As far as the details on the procedures, paperwork, customs and uses, and the most efficient ways to go about doing your search and purchase, I’d go back to your Realtor® of choice - the one whom you know will look out for your best interest.

Thanks for reading!

 

Francis
 

Silicon Valley real estate

Trends: Local prices and graphs.
The total yearly stats, locally by City, for 2014.

Note: our next free E-Waste collection and shredding event will be on: Sat. 4/11/15, at our Coldwell Banker office at 161 S. San Antonio Rd, Los Altos. Times: E-Waste 9am to 3 pm. Shredding: 10 am to 2 pm (or until our truck is full).

Properties off MLS...

Properties off MLS…. controversial.

 A lot has been said and written on the subject of properties selling “off MLS”, meaning they have not been on the Realtors’ Multiple Listing Service and were sold before making it to that database, common to all Realtors.

 Coming from a country where a common database of properties for sale is nearly non-existent, I can definitely vouch for the huge benefits that such a common database offers, both to buyers and to sellers. We could go on and on describing those benefits, but let’s just say that it pretty much ensures that a property for sale, by virtue of being exposed to all the agents around, will sell for its real, highest market value (low, high, but the most accurate result of supply and demand).  Also, a buyer will find all that is available for sale in one place, which means more choice and less wasted time going from one provider of information to another provider of information.

 So, why sell a property “off MLS”?  There are some unique situations where the sellers do not want the whole public to know that they are selling, and that is understandable.  There will always be special circumstances (i.e. very high price range, specific sellers’ needs or preferences, etc..).  But these exceptions aside, I see mostly downsides to not offering a property for sale through the MLS:

-          Less information for buyers and sellers about current sales activity, and "comparables". How do you price a property if you don’t know how, and how much similar homes sold for? This information is easily accessible (and reliable!) in the MLS.

-          A situation where both the seller and the buyer are “gambling”; one gambles that he/she bought for a lower price than if the house had been offered to all potential buyers, the other one gambles that he/she sold for the best, highest price.

-          A lack of confidence by the clients-buyers that they are being treated fairly: after looking for a home for several months and missing out on several offers, a buyer is not happy to learn that “that” house was for sale, but (s)he did not know about it,

-          The creation of smaller entities, or “channels”, where such properties are “known” or “available” to select agents and their clients; again, this is going back to a system without a reliable common database for all, and in my opinion does not serve the public well. Indeed, even those agents may be unaware of some other offerings in a different channel, and their clients will miss out on those opportunities.

 The practice of selling real estate through an MLS is not perfect, but it is the result of an evolution, and it is immensely practical and fair, and someone coming from a system where it does not exist sees it right away.  As an agent, I keep close tabs on all channels showing properties available for sale, even “off MLS”.  But using “alternative channels” excessively undermines the MLS, and I am afraid this will make it more difficult and unpredictable for the public to find or sell real estate – and a lot less efficient.

Let me know what you think!
Thanks for reading,

Francis

Silicon Valley real estate specialist
Detailed, local trends etc...
Current mortgage rates

Property sales price is public.

Up until the end of 2014, property sales prices could be withheld from public records.

If someone selling a property did not want the sales price to be disclosed, they just instructed the escrow officer to show the transfer tax amount on a separate page from the Grant Deed (the Grant Deed is public record).

Since January 1 of 2015, this is not going to be possible any longer: the hidden tax form will no longer be accepted by the County Recorder, regardless of when the documents were executed.  The tax amount will have to be shown on the Deed.

What newspapers do when they publish the recent real estate activity is this: they calculate the sales price from the Transfer Tax (when shown on the public document), and show the final sales price.  So from now on, it will not be possible to hide the sales price...

Thank for reading!
Francis

Silicon Valley real estate specialist
Detailed, local trends etc...
Current mortgage rates
A place worth noting: Our Brother's Home in MountainView

Silicon Valley real estate: ratio sales price/list price - end of the year inventory.

The number of properties available for sale is always smaller around the first of the year, and the market less active as the Holidays take people to other places, both in their minds and physically.

This year for the area covering the five cities of Los Altos, Los Altos Hills, Mountain View, Palo Alto and Menlo Park, we start the year with a total inventory of homes for sale of 37 (24 of those are over $2 million).  This total includes houses, and condominiums/townhouses.

As a comparison, last year we started with a total of 51 properties.  This, coupled with the huge activity I see at open houses, indicates that for a foreseeable future there is a large imbalance between the number of buyers and the number of sellers.

For the area covering the whole County of Santa Clara, we start the year with a total number of properties for sale at: 606…  Last year, we had 751 homes for sale at the beginning of the year.  Even though many areas are not as extreme as around Los Altos and Palo Alto, we still see a strong sellers’ market out here, especially in the entry-level / lower price range.

My monthly market update, accessible in a detailed form on my local newsletter, shows that the average ratio of sales price over list price is lower towards the end of the year (this graph is for the County of Santa Clara):

These are two facets of the local market around the New Year: statistically, properties sell for less of a premium, but the fact is that it is still a very strong sellers’ market.  Many clients ask me why and the answer is not straightforward.  I think that it reflects on the fact that over large numbers, statistically, there may be more properties on the market that must sell, as compared with the rest of the year.  It may also reflect on the fact that the quality of the real estate offerings is lower, and/or there are fewer buyers looking.  Remember, these are statistics.  However what it does not mean is that a desirable property, in a desirable area (schools, prime location etc…) will sell for less, if there is not a “time pressure” factor involved.

Any input on this?  Do let me know,

Thank you for reading,

Francis

Silicon Valley real estate specialist
Detailed, local trends etc...
Current mortgage rates

Foreign investments in the U.S. real estate market.

Foreign investment in the US real estate market.

Year-in year-out Realtors in the Bay Area deal quite a bit with foreign buyers.  It is interesting to keep some perspective on this phenomenon at the national level.

From March 2013 to March 2014, foreign purchases in US real estate increased 26% from the year before, to a total of $92.2 billion (National Association of Realtors Profile of International Home Buying Activity).

4 states accounted for 55% of the total: Florida, California, Arizona and Texas.

Nearly 60% of reported international transactions were all cash, compared to just one-third of domestic home purchases.  - Still 1/3 is an impressive number!

54% of all international transactions last year came from Canada, China, Mexico, India and the U.K.
Clearly, the United States remain a destination of choice for investors for its stability, and future prospects.

Separately, but still relevant to this subject, it is good to note that the foreign-born population by state looks like this:
- California: 25.4%
- New York: 10.8%
- Texas: 10.4%
- Florida: 9.2%
- the rest (~44% ) is divided between the other states.

Do you have an input on the subject?  Please let me know.!

Thanks for reading.

Francis

Silicon Valley real estate

Trends: Local prices and graphs.
A noteworthy local non-profit event:  Coalition on Homelessness, SF

Getting a new loan - things to do and not to do....

Are you getting a new loan?  Here are some tips of things to do and not do, in order to facilitate the procedure.  Some are essential, while others are more subtle.

-       Always pay on time:  your payment history is one of the biggest factors in your credit score.

-       Monitor your credit regularly:  make sure you stay on top of your credit history. Be sure to check all 3 credit bureaus annually to make sure there are no errors.

-       Know your credit limits:  being close to or maxing out your credit limits may negatively impact your credit score.

-       Set up alerts, do not be late.  Set up email and text alerts, as well as auto-pay, to help ensure that you pay your bills on time and build positive credit history.  The first missed payment has the largest impact on a credit score, so don’t miss payments. If you are late, don't be 30 days late, and if you have difficulty, call your lender - often time they can work with you.

-       Do not do charge anything unusual on your credit card - no cars, no motorcycles - do not increase your debt ratio as you are trying to get a new loan. 

-    

Beware of moving debt. Be wary of moving around debt repeatedly - you need to pay debt down to improve your credit score. Also beware of moving large amounts of money during the loan process, unless you can document it thoroughly.

-       Know your debt-to-income ratio.  Lenders look at the amount of debt you have compared to your monthly income   - it’s good to keep that under 35%.
   

-  Good scores = Good rates:  better credit scores in most cases get you better credit interest rates.

-       Don’t open too many accounts: opening up a bunch of credit accounts you don't need may negatively impact your credit score.

-       Keep balances low:  keep balances low on credit cards and other revolving accounts  - this may help your credit score.

-       Think before closing accounts.  Closing credit card accounts may lower your available credit and could hurt your credit score in the short term.

-       Length of your history matters.  Lenders care about the length of your credit history because they want to see that you can manage credit accounts responsibly over time. 

-       Finally: know that others view your credit.  Landlords, public utilities, and potential employers may review your credit history, in addition to lenders.

I always tell me clients: when it is time to apply for a loan, follow closely the instructions of you loan agent, and in doubt: ask the question.  They know best what the underwriter is going to scrutinize, what works and what does not work.

Do you have an input on the subject?  Please let me know.!

Thanks for reading.

Francis

Silicon Valley real estate

Trends: Local prices and graphs.
A noteworthy local non-profit event:  Coalition on Homelessness, SF

Revoking a real estate counteroffer.

The life of a real estate purchase offer....

Sellers may be in a situation where they receive what they think is an acceptable offer, one that they wish to work with, and then proceed to counter that offer.  What happens if, prior to acceptance by the buyers, the sellers get another better offer.   Are the sellers trapped? 

No, the sellers may revoke that counteroffer, as long as it is done in due time.  The definition of "due time" and "properly done" can get technical, and a little too involved for this current blog.  If it is not explained carefully by your agent, and if it is not carefully documented, it can be a costly matter.

But the reason for this blog is not to explain the above, it is to stress that many buyers, (improperly informed by their agent), think they can take their time to respond up to the expiration of the time stated on the counteroffer. That period of time however can be cut short by a seller's revocation of their counteroffer prior to the buyers' acceptance and delivery.

Buyers should be aware that the clock is ticking on their response from the time they have received the counter offer, and that they may not have until the expiration to respond.  Buyers who are eager should, therefore, get their response back to the seller as soon as possible after they have received a counter offer - before any revocation can occur.

Hot markets create situations that agents do not usually encounter in slower markets.  It is important to have a knowledgeable agent on your side to keep you informed of your options, and pitfalls to avoid.  The decision is always the clients' to make in the end, but it is important to understand the rules of the game - and I prefer to say, it is important to precisely understand the language of the counteroffer that is given to you. This is where your agent can save you a lot.

Thank you for reading,

Francis

Silicon Valley real estate specialist
Detailed, local trends etc...
Current mortgage rates

Buying a home, second thoughts...

Many recent homebuyers would make different choices if they had a second chance, according to a study commissioned by JPMorgan Chase & Co.

New homeowners say they wish they had done more homework at the outset of their home search and purchase process.  Nine of every 10 buyers felt prepared when they bought their home, but in hindsight, 56% wish they were armed with more knowledge about the financial aspects of purchasing a home, such as the closing process (22%), making an offer and negotiating (19%) and financing (15%).

Many recent homebuyers were surprised by how long the home-buying process took:  40% say it took longer than they expected.  And while more than 80% of buyers had considered their home move-in ready, 76% have done or are planning to do renovations to their home in the near-term.

Two thirds of recent homebuyers sought advice from real estate agents, the study finds.

"While consumers said they felt prepared to buy a home and were satisfied with their home purchase, our results found that there are challenges and areas for improvement," says Lisa Foradori, chief marketing officer for Chase Mortgage Banking.

Many Realtors come from the teaching profession, and there is a good reason for that: to be a good agent, one needs to have a passion for explaining why and how things work during the buying (or selling) process.  And even when clients have bought real estate in the past, they need someone on their side who knows what has changed recently, both in the market place, and in the profession (new forms, new rules and laws, new tools).    I always advise my clients to work on their loan qualifications first: there are many choices involved in getting a loan, and choosing the right loan should not be an afterthought.

Thanks for reading!
Francis

Silicon Valley real estate specialist
Detailed, local trends etc...
Current mortgage rates

Most parents make home buying decision around kids:

A recent survey by Coldwell Banker Real Estate found that 79% of Millennial parents (between 18 and 34) and 70% of Gen X parents (between 35 and 49) make major purchasing decisions around

their children, stating that they are more concerned about the immediate impact of a move on the emotional well-being of their children than whether moving is a good decision.

Francis

Silicon Valley real estate specialist
Detailed, local trends etc...
Current mortgage rates

Our next E-Waste & Shredding event is on:
Sat. Oct 25, 9am - 2pm (or until truck is full)
at: 161 S. San Antonio Rd
Los Altos, CA

Eye Candy.. Prime properties for sale.

This is the latest edition of our Coldwell Banker Previews International offerings. Most of the properties are pretty close to home, or even right there where we live.  Click on the cover to see the magazine.

Let me know if you have any question about one of these homes!

Francis Rolland
Previews Specialist

Silicon Valley real estate specialist
Detailed, local trends etc...
Current mortgage rates

Our next E-Waste & Shredding event is on:
Sat. Oct 25, 9am - 2pm (or until truck is full)
at: 161 S. San Antonio Rd
Los Altos, CA

Top 10 Cities for Projected Job Growth.

Where the jobs are...

As Realtors we know how important a role a robust job market plays in driving home sales.  So which big cities feature the strongest job markets?

Forbes magazine ranked the top big cities for projected job growth in 2014 based on several factors:
- current growth of employment rates,
- mid-term growth (the average annual rate from 2008-2013);
- long-term trends;
- and a 10-year average.

Three of the top-ranking cities are in Texas, while two are in California.

Top 10 cities:

1- San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, California,
2- San Francisco-San Mateo-Redwood City, California,
3- Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos, Texas,
4- Raleigh-Cary, North Carolina,
5- Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown, Texas,
6- Nashville-Davidson-Murfreesboro-Franklin, Tennessee,
7- New York City, New York
8- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, Florida,
9- Dallas-Plano-Irving, Texas,
10- Denver-Aurora-Broomfield, Colorado.

Thank you for reading!
Francis

Silicon Valley real estate specialist
Detailed, local trends etc...
Current mortgage rates

Our next E-Waste & Shredding event is on:
Sat. Oct 25, 9am - 2pm (or until truck is full)
at: 161 S. San Antonio Rd
Los Altos, CA

Student loans causing housing shift...

An analysis by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York found that for the first time in at least a decade, households with student-loan debt are less likely to have a mortgage than those without student-loan debt.

Additionally, a survey by the National Association of Realtors found that 49% of Americans reported that student loan debt is a "huge obstacle" to homeownership.

I had already blogged in July of last year about student loans and the general concerns this is causing for the housing market; the average pay-off time for a student loan is 21 years! 
This is also the subject of an article just published in the SJ Merc. on Sept. 23 2014, indicating: a "consultant's study says 8% fewer houses sold in the U.S." (as a result of student debt levels).
The Consultant is John burns Consulting, an Irvine-based firm that advises homebuilders. The article is from Tim Logan of the Los Angeles Times.

Thanks for reading!
Francis


Silicon Valley real estate specialist
Detailed, local trends etc...
Current mortgage rates
Our next E-Waste & Shredding event is on:
Sat. Oct 25, from 9am to 2pm (or until truck is full)

at: 161 S. San Antonio Rd
Los Altos, CA

Real estate investors homework .. Where to buy?

Many of my clients have invested in real estate to balance their investment portfolio, as I have done myself.  To piggy up on my last blog on the subject dating back to July (Investing in real estate), when people contact me with this goal in mind, their first question is: where should I invest?

Indeed, this is the first step: decide what should be your main goal with your real estate investing.  Is it to maximize appreciation, or is it to maximize returns?  Typically, where there is appreciation, the return on investment (ROI) is lower, and vice-versa, where there is a large return, appreciation is lower.  There are so many areas in the US to choose from...  and it would take a long time to go and visit each place of interest, and compare.

The Bay Area has always been expensive, and by the time you have purchased a condominium or a house, you have spent so much money that the return after finding a tenant is going to be around 3% to 4% maximum in the best case.   - Although for those who have bought before 2012, their return has gone up quite a bit due to the extreme increase in rents that we have seen since then: what used to rent for about $1900 about 5 years ago now fetches easily around $2,800, and even $3,000.

In Texas in the area of Dallas-Fort Worth one may buy a 4-bedroom house in a pretty nice neighborhood for say, around $150 to $160K, and the monthly rent is going to be around $1400.  With these kinds of figures, the return jumps to 10 or 11% very easily.

So where should one go?

I came across an interesting web site offering a lot of property management resources: http://www.allpropertymanagement.com/
and they have already done a lot of the research, by tracking a number of different metrics, from rental vacancy rates and home values to regional job growth, for 75 different metro areas in 5 regions of the country. They use that data, along with input from their nationwide network of over 5,000 property managers, to produce their quarterly Rental Ranking report, which measures a city’s attractiveness for real estate investment. 
Here is a link to their "All Property Management Q2 2014 Rental Ranking Report".   According to the data, San Jose is the second-strongest rental investment market in the West Region, and the fifth-best in the nation.

Finding the right place to invest also depends on where you live: sometimes, closer to you is better because you can manage the properties yourself, which can have huge implications for taxes, and also for the maintenance costs.

Once you have found you path, let me know: I can help you purchase the better property, or properties.  Whether it is in my backyard (including San Jose) or not, I can help you personally or I can find you the right agent through my network.  And should you end up in Dallas, I can also recommend a great management company there.

Thanks for reading,
Francis


Silicon Valley real estate specialist
Detailed, local trends etc...
Current mortgage rates

Know your insurance before remodeling.

Property insurance is not a very exciting subject to be sure.  I just read this blog from a local insurance company, Allied Brokers Inc., well known for their involvement in real estate insurance

here in the San Francisco Mid-Peninsula area.

The article covers the insurance issues that can pop up when you have a remodeling project that encounters problems; things are not always covered as you thought they were, and it is a good idea to check up on your insurance coverage with your insurer before starting any remodeling.

Checking also whether your contractor has any insurance, along with his/her sub-contractors if there are any, is essential, and you may also want to add yourself to the Contractor's policy.

More on this important subject in this Allied Brokers Inc. article.

Thanks for reading,
Francis

Silicon Valley real estate specialist
Detailed, local trends etc...
Current mortgage rates

Average prices in the SF Bay local Counties - evolution.

To piggy back on an earlier blog of mine, dating back to January of this year, here is an update to the graphs showing the increase in average prices in both the counties of Santa Clara and San Mateo; the figures include both the houses and the condominiums/townhouses.

As always, one has to be careful with statistics: a few very high priced homes can skew the average to a high number, even though nothing much else has happened in the market place.

A few things to note:
- In general, average prices go down at the end of the year and until January.  Last year was shielded in large part from this phenomenon: prices went down, but not much.  We will see if this year acts more "normal".
- The total number of homes (houses and condos) for sale last year at the end of August was 1,852 in the Cnty of Santa Clara, and it is now 1,778  - a little lower.  Still a lack of inventory ...
- Prices were an average of $715.7K in the County of Santa Clara in Jan of 2013, and they are now $992.5K, a 38.7% increase !
- From the graphs below, it seems that averages move faster up and down in the County of San Mateo than in the County of Santa Clara.  I believe it reflects the fact that a lot more properties went into the averages in SCC than in SM Cnty: 25,705 listings for Santa Clara County, vs 10,619 for San Mateo County.  The more properties you have, and the more the averages are going to be representative of the real market, instead of the specifics of the homes.  To say it simply, if you have a few very high properties, they will have less of an effect on the average of 25,000 sales vs the average of 10,000 sales.

One final note: the inventory of homes for sale in January of 2014 was around 900, about half of what it is now.  So it is a better time to look for a home!  Also, many trades linked to real estate, like property inspection services, termite companies, stagers, report being extremely busy right now (beg. of Sept.).  This could mean that inventory may increase soon...

County of Santa Clara:

County of San Mateo:

 

 

Thank you for reading,

Francis

Silicon Valley real estate specialist
Detailed, local trends etc...
Current mortgage rates

non-profit organization worth noting: Partners for New Generations - now called:
Mentor Tutor Connection.

Bay Area home prices leveling off.

Prices in the Bay Area at large are leveling off.

Not everywhere, and not all in the same manner.  But DataQuick, the La Jolla-based real estate information services firm, said the median sale price for new and existing homes in the region in July stayed at a 3-month plateau at $617,000.  That was down .2 % from June's median price but up 9.8 % from the $562,000 median in July 2013. 

Complete information along the Peninsula can be found in this Coldwell Banker article, with the following remarks with regards to the area close to Los Altos and Palo Alto, and referred to as "Silicon Valley" (always more competitive):


...... Silicon Valley – The market is a bit spotty, according to our Cupertino manager. The demand for

great houses with Cupertino schools is as high as ever, but certain segments seem to have cooled off. It’s August, after all! Our Los Altos manager reports that there is lower inventory currently in most of the local cities, which is basically seasonal. But the stagers are booked out the whole month of September, so that means some new inventory hopefully. Downtown Mountain View houses often sell within one week. The condos are still getting strong activity with multiples either the next week or following. Palo Alto still has low inventory, but if the house is priced too high, it doesn’t sell. The best sections of town still lack inventory and there are buyers lined up for each one. Last week a house in old Palo Alto sold for more than 1M over list ($6,700,000) with multiple offers. Los Altos Hills with Palo Alto schools attract many buyers and multiple offers. North Los Altos is still in huge demand as is most of the city and Mountain View west of El Camino. Sunnyvale is still occasionally seeing a new all-time high. In Los Gatos, inventory is tightening up even more as school heads back into session. San Jose-Almaden agents are not seeing as many multiple offers in Blossom Valley and Santa Teresa but they are in Almaden and Cambrian. One listing in Cambrian had 20 offers. Our San Jose Main office manager said the local market is seeing another drop in inventory, while buyer demand has pulled back as well. Open houses are well attending with some open houses having 40 groups each day on the opening weekends. Multiple offers are still prevalent, but the sheer number of offers has seemed to decrease. All signs indicate that we will have a strong fall. The local Willow Glen listing inventory remains consistent where it has been the last month. Agents are waiting to see if the post Labor Day weekend will bring a surge of new listings for the fall selling season. With tight inventory and strong buyer demand agents there have seen heavy open house traffic. With this increased demand agents starting to see the pre-emptive offers, multiple offers and aggressive offers way over asking price. The market is getting hot again in Willow Glen. ...

thank you for reading!
Francis


Francis
Silicon Valley real estate specialist
Detailed, local trends etc...
Current mortgage rates

non-profit organization worth noting: Partners for New Generations - now called:
Mentor Tutor Connection.

How old are these houses now?

Coming back recently from the old continent, where everything is at least 3 or 4 centuries old, when it is not from the previous millennium, I got curious about the age of properties in the US.  It turns out that:

-  14% of houses are between new and 14 years old,
-  25% are between 15 and 34 years old (33 million homes),
-  30% are between 35 and 54 years old (40 million homes),
-  16% are between 55 and 74 years old (21 million),
-  8% are between 75 and 94 years old (11 million homes),
-  and 7% are over 95 years of age! (9 million homes).

If you are buying an old property, in the latter category, I would definitely consider hiring a property inspector who specializes in older homes. There is an Historic Building Inspectors Association.  The problems in an older home may not be the same at all as in a newer home, and an inspector who is familiar with how homes were built a century ago would be more useful to detect what is still good (or even better than newer materials), and what has become dangerous. (i.e. some electrical set ups, plumbing arrangements, degrading materials, etc...).

It is unlikely that you will be in this situation in the Bay Area, but certainly not impossible!

Francis

Silicon Valley real estate specialist
Detailed, local trends etc...
Current mortgage rates
A place worth noting: Our Brother's Home in MountainView

Positive Equity Rises in 2013 - local market place update

A new analysis by CoreLogic shows that 4 million homes returned to positive equity in 2013, bringing the total number of mortgaged residential properties with equity to 42.7 million. 

However, it is important to note that the CoreLogic analysis indicates that nearly 6.5 million homes, or 13.3 percent of all residential properties with a mortgage, were still in negative equity at the end of 2013.

In our local area, the Bay Area of San Francisco, it is difficult sometimes to keep some perspective on the local market, which has been on fire since the beginning of January 2012.  This study by CoreLogic gives perspective at the national level: things have for sure improved enormously, but all is not over from the 2008-2009 crisis.

In the Bay Area, let's note that the inventory of homes (SFR + condos) for sale was about 1,700 after the first week of July, as compared to 1,872 a year ago.  There are fewer homes for sale.  It explains why property values have gone up so much in the past 12 months.  Inventory was at 7,500 in May of 2008!
For the area that includes only Los Altos, Los Altos Hills, Mountain View, Palo Alto and Menlo Park, inventory stands right now at:
150 homes total for sale (both houses and condominiums and townhomes, called PUD's), vs
184 last year at the same period.

We still have a very low inventory.

Dealing in the local market place day in and day out, I can however note here that, overall in the County, the activity seems to slow down: I have noticed fewer multiple offers in general, and a slower price increase in many areas. Except for Palo Alto and all areas with the best schools, I can sense that it is a slower activity now, during July.  This slow down can be the normal cycle, which slows down during the summer vacations (see my last graph-blog on the subject), or it could be a more general trend tied to the market in general.  We'll see in September! 

Thanks for reading!

Francis

Silicon Valley real estate

Trends: Local prices and graphs.
A noteworthy local non-profit event:  Coalition on Homelessness, SF

ROI on home improvements?

How much do you recoup from home improvements?

When home improvements offer the most bang for your buck.
Source: CNBC

Remodeling is at its highest level since the spring of 2004, according to the National Association of Home Builders' Remodeling Market Index. One of the reasons is that it has been so difficult to move up or move down: once you sell your property, you are not sure you will be able to buy a replacement very soon.  As a consequence, people remodel their house instead.  How much will you get back from these expenses, when you sell?

In general, home sellers cannot expect to recoup all their remodeling costs when they sell their house. From the upgrades, one can expect the average portion of costs being recouped at 66.1%

This is a question that clients ask me all the time, and one of the best sources of information on the subject is the web site showing the “Cost Vs. Value” report study.  It shows, depending on the area in the US, how much each project statistically gives back at the time of sale.

Those projects that pay off the most are, according to the article from Kelli B. Grant of CNBC:

-       Entry door replacement (steel):  96.6% recouped

-       Minor kitchen remodel:  82.7%  recouped.

-       Window replacement (wood):  79.3%

Why would contractors who “flip” houses make money then, you might ask?  I believe it is because they start from a house that does not show well, and therefore is going to sell at a discount, and they have the cost-efficient means to improve on the house, emphasizing those projects that show off the most for the best value.  Examples of such improvements would be, as I indicate to my clients when preparing for a sale:

-       Light fixtures,

-       Painting,

-       Retiling a shower enclosure,

-       Changing counter tops (but not necessarily all the cabinets, where there is a lot more involved),

-       Floor refinishing,

-       Deep cleaning,

-       Staging.

All these projects have a fairly small, finite cost, while improving immensely the look of the property to be sold.

Moreover, I believe that there are some areas like the Bay Area where buyers are willing to pay top dollars for a remodel that has been done already.  Is it because people here are too busy to undergo or direct a home remodel? Or they do not have the patience?  In any case, it has been my experience that remodeling jobs in this area of the San Francisco Bay returns more money than shown on the statistics of the cost vs value report.

Do you have an input on the subject?  Please let me know.!

Thanks for reading.

Francis

Silicon Valley real estate

Trends: Local prices and graphs.
A noteworthy local non-profit event:  Coalition on Homelessness, SF