Refinancers to Save More than $21 Billion in Interest

Refinancers to Save More than $21 Billion in Interest
Borrowers who refinanced in 2013 will save on net approximately $21 billion in interest over the next 12 months, according to Freddie Mac’s fourth quarter 2013 quarterly refinance analysis.

Of borrowers who refinanced during the fourth quarter of 2013, 39 percent shortened their loan term, up 2 percent from the previous quarter and the highest since 1992. Borrowers who kept the same term as the loan that they had paid off represented 56 percent, and only 5 percent chose to lengthen their loan term.

The net dollars of home equity converted to cash as part of a refinance remained low compared with historical

volumes. In the fourth quarter, an estimated $6.5 billion in net home equity was cashed out during a refinance of conventional prime-credit home mortgages. The peak in cash-out refinance volume was $84 billion during the second quarter of 2006. Adjusted for inflation, annual cash-out volumes during 2010 through 2013 have been the smallest since 1997.

The average interest rate reduction in the fourth quarter was about 1.5 percentage points -- a savings of about 25 percent.  More info on this page of the Freddie Mac website.

On another note, about 2 in 5 borrowers shorten their loan terms when they refinanced last year, and over 95% of refinancing borrowers chose a fixed-rate loan.

Thanks for reading; if you like it, let your friends know!
Francis

Silicon Valley real estate specialist
Detailed, local trends etc...
Current mortgage rates

Our next Ewaste and Shredding event will be April 5th, at my office:
161 S. San Antonio Rd
Los Altos

Will you want some cash with that ?...

Freddie Mac reported this week that 79 % of homeowners who refinanced their first-lien home mortgage either maintained about the same loan amount or lowered their principal balance by paying-in additional money at the closing table in the first quarter of 2012.

Of these borrowers, 58 percent maintained about the same loan amount, and 21 percent of refinancing homeowners reduced their principal balance; the share of borrowers that kept about the same loan amount was the highest in the 26-year history of the analysis.

“Cash-out" borrowers, those who increased their loan balance by at least 5%, represented 21% of all refinance loans; the weighted average cash-out share during the 1985 to 2008 period was 50 percent.

The median interest rate reduction for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage was about

1.5 % points, or a savings of about 27 % in interest rate, the largest percent reduction recorded in the 27 years of analysis. Over the first year of the refinance loan life, the median borrower will save about $2,900 in interest payments on a $200,000 loan.

More info on this Freddie Mac article.

Francis Rolland

Silicon Valley Real Estate

Local market trends

Francis - on Trulia

Current Mortgage rates

House financing, refinancing? Hidden fees..

Let's be technical here, just a bit, to understand better what is in a loan "rate".

A hidden fee is set to rise
The guarantee fee – a hidden fee inside the interest rate quoted on a home mortgage – has been mandated by Congress to increase this spring, and other increases are likely later to take place later this year and next.

A little bit of background on the subject:

The guarantee fee has been charged by government sponsored entities like Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac for more than three decades. The fee does not show up in borrowers’ mortgage documents or good-faith estimates, and it is little known outside the industry. According to a Fannie Mae spokesman, the fee “gets incorporated into the underlying rate the borrower pays.”

An interest rate is usually made of up 3 parts: The largest goes to the bank or the investors who buy the loan; the smaller portion is for the mortgage servicer that collects monthly payments; and then there’s the guarantee fee. Fannie and Freddie charge guarantee fees as a form of insurance against default for the loans they acquire and resell to investors.

The guarantee fee will rise 10 basis points on April 1; the increase was included in the two-month extension of the payroll tax reduction last December. A basis point is equal to one one-hundredth of 1 percent, or 0.01 percent.

One way to avoid the guarantee fee is to use a lender that does not sell off its loans – for instance, a community bank or a credit union.

In addition to offsetting risks, the fees provide a primary source of revenue for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Both organizations started raising fee rates in 2008 during the housing crisis, as foreclosure costs rose.

Read the full story in this New York Times article.

Francis

Silicon Valley Real Estate

Local market trends

useful links

Current Mortgage rates

Refinancing & the Economy .. A Missing Link ...

There is a lot of noise right now about the “occupy wall street” movement. And the economy is giving ulcers to everyone. The world is full of catch 22’s in many important areas. Consider the following situation if you have a second with me, and tell me if this is not illogical:

Someone wants to refinance their property but the value has gone down so much that it is under the value of the loan. The rules of the banks, the way they are right now, are such that the bank will not allow the borrower to refinance the same amount of loan as before (because of the “loan-to-value ratios” rules). How does that make sense? The lender is taking a much bigger risk in most cases by leaving someone obligated to pay a high interest rate that will sink them, when they could pay a lower rate and have a better chance of affording their loan.

The borrower, in front of such an illogical catch 22, decides to stop paying and to go to foreclosure. If you look at my previous blog, it is clear to many analysts that a lot of these borrowers are not inherently a “bad risk”, just because they decided to default on a loan that they cannot change. When these borrowers have only one default on their record, and it is this kind of default, they are often ready to buy something else, at today’s value, with today’s interest rate. It is often cheaper than to rent. But they cannot do it because of their credit history (since they just defaulted on a loan).

The system is blocked. It is thought that many people, if they were allowed to buy a new property, would prefer that option to renting.

  - 1/ the market would be a lot less depressed, as many properties would sell instead of sitting forever,

  - 2/ because more properties would sell, the market values would be more sustained and in many cases would slightly go up. This in turn would help the banks, since the total market value of their distressed properties would be higher.

This blog does not go into judging anyone, or deciding if it would be fair to do this or that. But the difficulty to refinance falls under rules that are counter-intuitive in my opinion.

As I write this I learn that the HARP program (see one of my previous blogs on refinancing) has just been expanded to the end of 2013, and removed the 125% ceiling on “loan-to-value” cap for fixed rate mortgages backed by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. More on this PDF from the Federal Housing Finance Agency.  However, I need to underline that it is for mortgages backed by FNMA and Freddie Mac only...

Still, it is estimated that between 1.5 and 2 million people may take advantage of these new rules.  (just heard on NPR).

Couldn't all the banks think in the same manner, for their own ultimate good? And couldn't they waive some qualifying rules on a case-by-case basis? - It would make a lot of "cents" to them in the end.

Thanks for reading,

Francis

Silicon Valley Real Estate

Local market trends

useful links

Refinancing problems? here is a suggestion...

Are you trying to refinance but you cannot because your equity is too low?

This is the classic catch 22 in which you cannot take advantage of great rates because the bank’s appraisal is too low.

The HARP refinancing program is addressing precisely this need. HARP: Home Affordable Refinance Program, administered by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.

Good News !!

Set to expire June 30, 2011, this program has been extended one year. In 2010, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac purchased or guaranteed more than 6.8 million refinanced mortgages. Of this total, 621,800 were HARP refinances with Loan-To-Values between 80 percent and 125 percent !! This is more than 3 times the number in 2009.
Some limitations apply of course, but fairly reasonable.  One of them, for instance, is that you need to spend more than 31% of your pre-tax income on your mortgage payment. (thank you Nicolas!  ;-)  for the input). Check out the details on the Freddie Mac web site, or the Fannie Mae web site:  Fannie Mae web site.

Another program worthy of noting if you have financial problems: the "Making Home Affordable" Program.

Thanks for reading!
Francis

Silicon Valley real estate
Search the MLS